Archive for July 2009


Challenging End Markets Weigh on Sales Across the Board

The Walt Disney Company
Rating: Sector Perform
Price: $26.22
 
Strong expense control in Parks allows EPS to beat despite revenue miss. Disney reported sales and non-GAAP EPS of $8.6 billion and $0.52, respectively, versus our estimate of $8.8 billion and $0.49. The EPS upside versus our estimate came from better theme park margins, which are impressive given the amount of promotion that Disney is supporting. Sales missed our forecast in all segments, but the deviation was consistently modest.

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DIS, Media-Film - July 31st, 2009 — 5:28am

Beats, but Only Reiterates Outlook Due to Ongoing Risks

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Sony Corporation
Rating: Sector Perform
Price: 27.82

Reiterates outlook after beating Q1 EPS. Sony beat our and consensus FQ1 (June) earnings estimates, but missed our sales forecast, which was ahead of the Street. It reiterated its fiscal-year guidance. Expectations were very low due to ongoing global macroeconomic weakness; results were therefore better than expected. While Sony does not guide to quarterly results, it beat its internal forecasts.

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Games, SNE - July 30th, 2009 — 11:40am

Solid FQ1, but FQ2 Outlook Reminds of Ongoing Challenges

THQ Logo

THQ, Inc.
Ticker: THQI
Rating: Sector Perform
 
A solid FQ1 (June), but Q2 guidance will likely disappoint the Street. THQ posted a better-than-expected bottom line, but FQ2 guidance that was in line with our estimates, which were well below the Street. What we expect to be disappointing profitability in FQ2, after a mini resurgence in FQ1, will likely give the appearance that THQ’s strong FQ1 was driven almost exclusively by UFC rather than by a broader turnaround.

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Games, THQI - July 29th, 2009 — 5:14am

Catalog and Accounting Change Drive Upside in Uneventful Q2

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DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc.
Ticker: DWA
Rating: Outperform
 
DreamWorks reports Q2 EPS upside. DreamWorks Animation reported Q2 revenue and EPS of $132.0 million and $0.30 versus our estimates of $135.0 million and $0.20. Results benefited by $24.0 million and $0.10 from an accounting change in the recognition of videogame royalties. Without this change, results were relatively in line with Street forecasts and our expectations after weak Monsters vs. Aliens (MvA) international box-office results.

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DWA, Media-Film - July 29th, 2009 — 5:14am

Faux Pas; Lowering Estimates as Sales Go Down, Costs Go Up

Ubisoft Entertainment
Rating: Outperform   
Price: €14.64
 
Ubisoft misses 1H sales forecast, reiterates 2H guidance. Ubisoft reported fiscal Q1 (June) sales of €83 million, well below our and Street estimates of €100 million and €101 million. It also delayed four games, two out of the year and two from fiscal Q3 (Dec.) to fiscal Q4 (March).

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Games, UBI.FR - July 28th, 2009 — 5:07am

UBI: Lowers FY Guidance From Bad 1H Results

Event:  
Ubisoft (UBI.FR, Outperform) reported FQ1 (June) sales
CC @ 9:15 AM PST, 718-354-1388, code 4447116

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Games - July 27th, 2009 — 9:14am

Q2 Video Games/Entertainment Earnings Preview

Event:
We are publishing our Q2 earnings preview for our Video Games, Chinese Online Games and Entertainment coverage list
 
Focus Stocks:
ERTS – We expect it to meet or beat Street Q2 forecasts 
SNDA – We expect it to meet or beat Street Q2 forecasts
NTES – We expect it to meet Q2 Street forecasts

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Games, Online Games (China) - July 22nd, 2009 — 10:51am

Q2 Looks Fine as Doubts Mount on This Much-Loved Stock

activision-blizzard

Activision Blizzard, Inc.
Rating: Outperform
Price: $11.70
 
Q2 earnings should be in line or better. Activision should report Q2 results next week. We expect it to meet or beat Q2 forecasts. There is growing skepticism around this much-loved story based on a few rumors, largely insignificant business changes and lackluster industry sales. We remain confident in our forecasts and that Activision has set expectations low enough to drive estimates higher in the next two quarters.

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ATVI, Games - July 20th, 2009 — 5:27am

NPD Review: June U.S. Videogame Industry Sales Declined 29%

June sales declined 29% year over year. NPD released June U.S. console and handheld videogame sell-through data (May 31 through July 4) last night. Sales declined 29% year over year to $626 million due to comparisons to Metal Gear Solid 4, Lego Indiana Jones, GH Aerosmith, Rock Band Wii, Battlefield Bad Company and Kung Fu Panda. Top new titles this year included [PROTOTYPE], Tiger Woods PGA Tour 10, Fight Night Round 4 and Ghostbusters.

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Games - July 17th, 2009 — 5:06am

Video Games: June NPD Data is Weak

Event:
NPD just released June U.S. video game sales data
 
Details:
Industry:
-29% to $626M vs. est. -20% to $700M

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Games - July 16th, 2009 — 1:51pm

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